Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Taylor F.
Assist: Agrafiotis N.
38'
Kiltie G.
42'
Agrafiotis N.

AI Match Summary

St. Mirren in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Mirren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kilmarnock
30%
Draws
31%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kilmarnock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Kilmarnock have won more games recently than St. Mirren.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on St. Mirren taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilmarnock St. Mirren
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren
0:1
May 9, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock
0:3
Feb 11, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren
4:3
Dec 27, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kilmarnock Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 26 / 100
St. Mirren 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilmarnock St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Mirren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kilmarnock scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

St. Mirren let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Kilmarnock stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS St. Mirren
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
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St. Mirren

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)