Sport Picks
Kilmarnock W vs Motherwell W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
SWPL Cup Women 
Match Events
8'
8'
Browning T.
Assist: Ronald L.
17'
17'
McLaughlin L.
Assist: Mooney I.
45'
45'
Blyth-Clark M.
Assist: Thomson E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilmarnock W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Motherwell W have won more games recently than Kilmarnock W.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Motherwell W taking it.
- Motherwell W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Motherwell W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kilmarnock W Clean Sheet 10%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kilmarnock W | Motherwell W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Kilmarnock W vs Motherwell W
2:3
Feb 16, 2020 SWPL Cup Women
Kilmarnock W vs Motherwell W
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kilmarnock W Compare
Top Goalscorer McLaughlin L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gray C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Motherwell W Compare
Top Goalscorer Blyth-Clark M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Browning T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.23
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kilmarnock W 26 / 100
Motherwell W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kilmarnock W Motherwell W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motherwell W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motherwell W let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.
Kilmarnock W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Kilmarnock W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kilmarnock W VS Motherwell W
2 Goals Scored 2.5
2.4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Kilmarnock W
(Home) 13 Sept
Kilmarnock W
1 : 8 Hibernian W
09 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 3 Motherwell W
05 Aug
Falkirk FCF W
0 : 3 Kilmarnock W
02 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 1 Dundee Utd W
26 Jul
Boroughmuir W
0 : 2 Kilmarnock W
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Kilmarnock W
1 : 8 Hibernian W
09 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 3 Motherwell W
02 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 1 Dundee Utd W
01 Oct
Kilmarnock W
0 : 3 Dundee Utd W
19 Mar
Kilmarnock W
0 : 3 Glasgow City W
Page 1 of 2
Motherwell W
(Away) 04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0 Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2 Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0 Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0 Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3 Rangers W
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0 Motherwell W
30 Aug
Montrose W
1 : 3 Motherwell W
16 Aug
Hibernian W
7 : 0 Motherwell W
09 Aug
Kilmarnock W
2 : 3 Motherwell W
02 Aug
Livingston W
1 : 7 Motherwell W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montrose W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Motherwell W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Spartans W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Hamilton W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Boroughmuir W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Livingston W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 8 | Gartcairn W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Dundee Utd W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Queen's Park W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Renfrew W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:16 | 3 |
| 12 | St Johnstone W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:16 | 3 |
| 13 | Aberdeen W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Falkirk FCF W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:17 | 0 |
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - SWPL Cup Women (Play Offs)
