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Kilwinning Rangers vs Dalbeattie Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kilwinning Rangers host Dalbeattie Star in the Lowland League. Kilwinning Rangers are expected to control this from the start. Kilwinning Rangers have averaged 2.42 scored and 1.74 conceded recently, against Dalbeattie Star's 0.79 scored and 4.17 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (3.13 - 0.88) back Kilwinning Rangers to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kilwinning Rangers
15%
Draws
0%
Dalbeattie Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilwinning Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kilwinning Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kilwinning Rangers taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kilwinning Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kilwinning Rangers Dalbeattie Star
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 11 0
Draws 0 5
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 2.42 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.74 4.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilwinning Rangers 85 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kilwinning Rangers Dalbeattie Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilwinning Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kilwinning Rangers scored in 89% of their last 19 outings.

Dalbeattie Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Dalbeattie Star registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Solid form: Kilwinning Rangers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kilwinning Rangers VS Dalbeattie Star
3.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilwinning Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 1
Kilwinning Rangers
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
15 Sept
Albion Rovers
0 : 3
Kilwinning Rangers
12 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
4 : 0
Celtic B
Page 1 of 4

Dalbeattie Star

(Away)
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)