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Stadium Background

Kimberley vs Deportivo Rincon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Jose Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Kimberley have averaged 0.9 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Deportivo Rincon's 0.83 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Kimberley slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.75 - 0.94) back Kimberley to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kimberley
35%
Draws
25%
Deportivo Rincon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kimberley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Rincon haven't matched Kimberley's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Kimberley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Rincon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kimberley Deportivo Rincon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley
3:1
May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Deportivo Rincon
0:1
May 26, 2024 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Deportivo Rincon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kimberley 31 / 100
Deportivo Rincon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kimberley Deportivo Rincon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kimberley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Rincon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Kimberley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kimberley's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kimberley VS Deportivo Rincon
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kimberley

(Home)
10 Oct
Deportivo Rincon
0 : 1
Kimberley
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3
Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2
Alvarado
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Deportivo Rincon

(Away)
10 Oct
Deportivo Rincon
0 : 1
Kimberley
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -