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Kingborough Lions vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Lightwood Park
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Anderson T.
12' Event
Tebeje S.
45' Event
Mies N.

AI Match Summary

Kingborough Lions in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kingborough Lions
6%
Draws
4%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kingborough Lions have won more games recently than Ulverstone.
  • Model gives Kingborough Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 68%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kingborough Lions Ulverstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 3.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Kingborough Lions
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Ulverstone
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Tebeje S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mies N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Ulverstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kingborough Lions 95 / 100
Ulverstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kingborough Lions Ulverstone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kingborough Lions scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ulverstone conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Kingborough Lions has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kingborough Lions VS Ulverstone
3.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%