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Stadium Background

King’s Lynn vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Nwabueze J.
62' Event
Hall-Johnson R.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between King’s Lynn and Chorley finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward King’s Lynn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
King’s Lynn
15%
Draws
49%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • King’s Lynn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • King’s Lynn are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
King’s Lynn Clean Sheet 13%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric King’s Lynn Chorley
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chorley
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chorley
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs King’s Lynn
4:0
Apr 29, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs King’s Lynn
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chorley
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

King’s Lynn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwabueze J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hall-Johnson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chorley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

King’s Lynn 75 / 100
Chorley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
King’s Lynn Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick King’s Lynn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chorley let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

King’s Lynn found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

King’s Lynn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

King’s Lynn VS Chorley
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

King’s Lynn

(Home)
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2
King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6

Chorley

(Away)
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4
Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)