Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Calveley M.
78'
78'
Crane R.
90'
90'
Ubaezuonu C.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between King’s Lynn and Chorley finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: King’s Lynn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- King’s Lynn carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans King’s Lynn's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
King’s Lynn Clean Sheet 68%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | King’s Lynn | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chorley
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chorley
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs King’s Lynn
4:0
Apr 29, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs King’s Lynn
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 National League North
King’s Lynn vs Chorley
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
King’s Lynn Compare
Top Goalscorer Ubaezuonu C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer Calveley M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
King’s Lynn 86 / 100
Chorley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
King’s Lynn Chorley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick King’s Lynn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chorley let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
King’s Lynn's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: King’s Lynn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
King’s Lynn VS Chorley
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
King’s Lynn
(Home) 12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
05 Sept
Darlington FC
0 : 2 King’s Lynn
31 Aug
King’s Lynn
3 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
29 Aug
Hebburn Town
4 : 2 King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
31 Aug
King’s Lynn
3 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
22 Aug
King’s Lynn
1 : 4 Marine
08 Aug
King’s Lynn
1 : 1 Harborough
Page 1 of 3
Chorley
(Away) 12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
31 Aug
Chorley
2 : 2 Brackley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Marine
0 : 2 Chorley
15 Aug
South Shields
2 : 1 Chorley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
