Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kinondoni MC vs Alliance

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Kinondoni MC Logo

Kinondoni MC

2 - 1
FT
Alliance Logo

Alliance

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Ilanfya C.
80' Event
Ilanfya C.
90' Event
Chinedu M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Kinondoni MC and Alliance finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kinondoni MC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kinondoni MC
20%
Draws
80%
Alliance
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alliance come out ahead of Kinondoni MC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alliance's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 19%
Alliance Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kinondoni MC Alliance
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.59 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Alliance
2:1
Nov 22, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Kinondoni MC
2:1
Feb 10, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Alliance
1:1
Sep 29, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Kinondoni MC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kinondoni MC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilanfya C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Alliance Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinedu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinondoni MC 12 / 100
Alliance 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kinondoni MC Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alliance Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alliance let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Kinondoni MC scored in 41% of their last 32 games.

Difficult form: Alliance registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kinondoni MC VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kinondoni MC

(Home)
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3
Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Alliance

(Away)
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2
Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1
Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)