Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara KMC Stadium

Kinondoni MC

1 - 0

Mashujaa

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Saliboko D.

65'

Sub

Uromi D. In: Mhagama C.

Out: Uromi D.

65'

Sub

Kihimbwa S. In: Shaban N.

Out: Kihimbwa S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Kinondoni MC and Mashujaa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kinondoni MC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Kinondoni MC

22%

Draws

60%

Mashujaa

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Mashujaa carry the better recent record into this one.
Mashujaa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%

Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 18%

Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kinondoni MC	Mashujaa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	7
Draws	3	11
Losses	25	12
Goals Scored	1	0.25
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Feb 3, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Mashujaa

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Dec 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Mashujaa

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

May 8, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kinondoni MC Compare

Top Goalscorer Saliboko D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Mashujaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kinondoni MC 20 / 100

Mashujaa 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kinondoni MC Mashujaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Mashujaa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kinondoni MC's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mashujaa conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kinondoni MC VS Mashujaa

1 Goals Scored 0.25

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 13%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9