Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018

Ergene Velimese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kirikhanspor play Ergene Velimese in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kirikhanspor averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Ergene Velimese averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Kirikhanspor won 1, Ergene Velimese won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 3, 2018 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Kirikhanspor and 0.80 for Ergene Velimese. This points to a Kirikhanspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Kirikhanspor

16%

Draws

38%

Ergene Velimese

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Kirikhanspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Kirikhanspor picked up more points recently compared to Ergene Velimese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Kirikhanspor Clean Sheet 26%

Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kirikhanspor	Ergene Velimese
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	7
Draws	4	6
Losses	19	19
Goals Scored	0.9	0.59
Goals Conceded	1.7	1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2018 3. Lig Group 2

Kirikhanspor vs Ergene Velimese

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Oct 15, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Ergene Velimese vs Kirikhanspor

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirikhanspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gozetlik E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Demir M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ergene Velimese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirikhanspor 47 / 100

Ergene Velimese 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kirikhanspor Ergene Velimese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kirikhanspor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kirikhanspor attacking → ← attacking Ergene Velimese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirikhanspor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ergene Velimese let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kirikhanspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ergene Velimese lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 27

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Darica Genclerbirligi	34	21	9	4	64:18	72
2	Ankara Demirspor	34	22	5	7	60:31	71
3	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	19	7	8	63:40	64
4	Bucaspor 1928	34	16	13	5	52:28	61
5	24Erzincanspor	34	17	10	7	53:30	61
6	Pazarspor	34	16	10	8	47:36	58
7	52 Orduspor	34	15	10	9	52:33	55
8	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	34	14	7	13	47:48	49
9	Vanspor FK	34	14	7	13	56:47	49
10	Turgutlu	34	14	5	15	46:47	47
11	Golcukspor	34	13	8	13	56:49	47
12	Erokspor	34	13	7	14	42:37	46
13	Muglaspor	34	11	8	15	36:36	41
14	1461 Trabzon	34	11	5	18	51:54	38
15	Ergene Velimese	34	8	13	13	38:43	37
16	Kirikhanspor	34	7	6	21	28:55	27
17	Yesil Bursa	34	5	7	22	24:55	22
18	Kayseri Erciyesspor	34	0	3	31	17:145	-6