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Kirkenes vs Tromso 3

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 12
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kirkenes in this Division 3 - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kirkenes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kirkenes
15%
Draws
39%
Tromso 3
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kirkenes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kirkenes lately — more wins on the board than Tromso 3.
  • Win probability leans Tromso 3's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kirkenes Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso 3 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirkenes Tromso 3
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Tromso 3 vs Kirkenes
0:2
May 20, 2016 Division 3 - Group 12
Kirkenes vs Tromso 3
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirkenes 10 / 100
Tromso 3 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirkenes Tromso 3

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso 3 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirkenes scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Tromso 3 has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Kirkenes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kirkenes VS Tromso 3
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirkenes

(Home)
10 Apr
Kirkenes
0 : 11
Alta
08 Oct
Kirkenes
0 : 1
Alta 2
01 Oct
Tverrelvdalen
0 : 3
Kirkenes
24 Sept
Kirkenes
0 : 0
Bjornevatn IL
18 Sept
Skarp
1 : 2
Kirkenes
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Tromso 3

(Away)
08 Oct
Tromso 3
2 : 1
HIF Stein
01 Oct
Skjervoy
6 : 0
Tromso 3
24 Sept
Tromso 3
1 : 2
Bossekop
21 Sept
Alta 2
4 : 1
Tromso 3
07 Sept
Tromso 3
3 : 1
Tverrelvdalen
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