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Kirklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Unsal B.
50' Event
Unsal B.
52' Event
Turker H.
Assist: Frei K.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group game between Kirklarelispor and Sakaryaspor finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakaryaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kirklarelispor
15%
Draws
58%
Sakaryaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kirklarelispor's 1.29 goals per match outpaces what Sakaryaspor have produced (1.11).
  • Sakaryaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kirklarelispor Clean Sheet 20%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirklarelispor Sakaryaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Kirklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor
1:3
Aug 23, 2021 Club Friendly
Sakaryaspor vs Kirklarelispor
1:1
Feb 14, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Kirklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor
0:0
Oct 10, 2020 2. Lig Red Group
Sakaryaspor vs Kirklarelispor
0:0
Apr 15, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Sakaryaspor vs Kirklarelispor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kirklarelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Harman H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Unsal B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Turker H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirklarelispor 10 / 100
Sakaryaspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirklarelispor Sakaryaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakaryaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sakaryaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kirklarelispor scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kirklarelispor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kirklarelispor VS Sakaryaspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirklarelispor

(Home)
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
24Erzincanspor
0 : 0
Kirklarelispor
20 Sept
Kirklarelispor
1 : 2
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
13 Sept
Iskenderunspor
0 : 1
Kirklarelispor
25 Apr
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0 : 3
Kirklarelispor
Page 1 of 6

Sakaryaspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Adana 01
06 Sept
Trabzon FK
2 : 3
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 5 5 0 0 13:4 15
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 K. Istklalspor 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
4 Trabzon FK 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
5 Ankara Demirspor 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Adana 01 4 2 1 1 10:10 7
7 Karacabey Bld. 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
8 52 Orduspor 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
9 24Erzincanspor 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
10 12 Bingol Spor 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
11 Serik Spor 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Ankaragucu 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Kirklarelispor 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Kutahyaspor 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
16 Inegolspor 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
17 Iskenderunspor 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)