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Kirov vs Sibir Novosibirsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold VyatSShOR, Kirov
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kirov host Sibir Novosibirsk in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Kirov have averaged 1.57 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Sibir Novosibirsk's 1.52 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Kirov slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring Kirov. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kirov
20%
Draws
40%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kirov have won more games recently than Sibir Novosibirsk.
  • Model gives Sibir Novosibirsk a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kirov Clean Sheet 18%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kirov Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kirov
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kirov vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kirov
4:1
Jun 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kirov vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Kirov
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kirov 28 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kirov Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sibir Novosibirsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirov scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Sibir Novosibirsk conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kirov went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kirov VS Sibir Novosibirsk
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kirov

(Home)
10 Oct
Kirov
0 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
13 Sept
D. Bryansk
0 : 1
Kirov
Page 1 of 6

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 13 9 2 2 26:12 29
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 13 5 4 4 18:15 19
4 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
5 Dynamo Vladivostok 13 4 5 4 11:9 17
6 D. Bryansk 13 4 4 5 13:18 16
7 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 13 1 10 2 13:14 13
9 Saratov 13 1 6 6 10:22 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)