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Kiruna vs Algarna-Harnosand Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Kiruna Logo

Kiruna

3 - 2
FT
Algarna-Harnosand Logo

Algarna-Harnosand

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Abayomi T.
25' Event
Hereka M.
30' Event
Andrews C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kiruna in this Division 2 - Norrland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kiruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kiruna
20%
Draws
0%
Algarna-Harnosand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Kiruna have won more games recently than Algarna-Harnosand.
  • Model gives Kiruna a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kiruna have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 20%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna Algarna-Harnosand
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 2
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.34 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.59 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Kiruna
1:3
Sep 23, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:0
Jun 3, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Kiruna
0:1
Oct 1, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Kiruna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Abayomi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hereka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Halldahl W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mokonen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 85 / 100
Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna Algarna-Harnosand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Algarna-Harnosand conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Algarna-Harnosand has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kiruna scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiruna VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiruna

(Home)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
Page 1 of 7

Algarna-Harnosand

(Away)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)