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Kiruna vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Kiruna Logo

Kiruna

1 - 3
FT
Boden Logo

Boden

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Arhin F.
35' Event
Samper Silva C. A.
42' Event
Bandh E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kiruna
35%
Draws
32%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Boden have won more games recently than Kiruna.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Kiruna taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Boden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 20%
Boden Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna Boden
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 15
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Kiruna
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
1:3
May 29, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Kiruna
4:3
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
0:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Arhin F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bandh E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Samper Silva C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 85 / 100
Boden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Kiruna scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kiruna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Boden
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiruna

(Home)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
Page 1 of 6

Boden

(Away)
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
15 Aug
Boden
3 : 2
Gottne IF
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)