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Stadium Background

Kiruna vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Arhin F.
35' Event
Samper Silva C. A.
42' Event
Bandh E.

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kiruna
33%
Draws
27%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Boden have won more games recently than Kiruna.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kiruna taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Boden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 20%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiruna Boden
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Kiruna
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
1:3
May 29, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Kiruna
4:3
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
0:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Boden
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Arhin F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bandh E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Samper Silva C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiruna 40 / 100
Boden 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiruna Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Kiruna scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kiruna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiruna VS Boden
1.4 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiruna

(Home)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
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Boden

(Away)
27 Jun
Taftea IK
1 : 1
Boden
22 Jun
Boden
1 : 4
IFK Lulea
13 Jun
Boden
1 : 1
Skelleftea
07 Jun
Storfors AIK
0 : 2
Boden
30 May
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Friska Viljor1280433:2728
2Boden1261521:2223
3Taftea IK1271422:1522
4Lucksta IF1260623:2320
5Kiruna1243519:1917
6Bergnasets AIK1232724:3017
7Boden City1241718:2413
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)