Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiryat Gat host Maccabi Ironi Ashdod in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kiryat Gat at 2.11 goals for, 1.16 against; Maccabi Ironi Ashdod at 1.85 for, 1.85 against. Past meetings favor Kiryat Gat slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.56) point toward Kiryat Gat. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kiryat Gat
35%
Draws
29%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kiryat Gat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiryat Gat come out ahead of Maccabi Ironi Ashdod on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kiryat Gat taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiryat Gat Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Matches Played 19 20
Wins 13 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 2.11 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Kiryat Gat
1:2
Apr 11, 2020 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0:0
Dec 28, 2019 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Kiryat Gat
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Gat 42 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiryat Gat Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kiryat Gat has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Gat VS Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiryat Gat

(Home)
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
30 Aug
Ironi Modiin
1 : 1
Kiryat Gat
24 Aug
Kiryat Gat
1 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 4

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Away)
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
27 Feb
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)