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Kiryat Gat vs MS Kafr Qasim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
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Match Events

90' Event
Ganayem I.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between Kiryat Gat and MS Kafr Qasim finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MS Kafr Qasim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Kiryat Gat
15%
Draws
59%
MS Kafr Qasim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MS Kafr Qasim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • MS Kafr Qasim haven't matched Kiryat Gat's recent run of results.
  • Model gives MS Kafr Qasim a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 20%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiryat Gat MS Kafr Qasim
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.85 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Leumit League
Kiryat Gat vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:1
Mar 29, 2019 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:1
Nov 30, 2018 Liga Alef South
MS Kafr Qasim vs Kiryat Gat
2:0
Apr 20, 2018 Liga Alef South
Kiryat Gat vs MS Kafr Qasim
1:1
Dec 22, 2017 Liga Alef South
MS Kafr Qasim vs Kiryat Gat
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kiryat Gat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

MS Kafr Qasim Compare

Top Goalscorer Ganayem I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Gat 24 / 100
MS Kafr Qasim 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiryat Gat MS Kafr Qasim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MS Kafr Qasim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat scored in 90% of their last 20 games.

Defensive concern: MS Kafr Qasim conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kiryat Gat went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Gat VS MS Kafr Qasim
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiryat Gat

(Home)
09 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
Kiryat Yam
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
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MS Kafr Qasim

(Away)
09 Oct
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 1
Yehuda
01 Oct
H. Raanana
1 : 2
MS Kafr Qasim
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)