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Kiryat Yam vs MS Kafr Qasim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiryat Yam host MS Kafr Qasim in the Leumit League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kiryat Yam have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against MS Kafr Qasim's 1 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor MS Kafr Qasim slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.69, favoring Kiryat Yam. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kiryat Yam
15%
Draws
39%
MS Kafr Qasim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiryat Yam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • MS Kafr Qasim haven't matched Kiryat Yam's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kiryat Yam a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kiryat Yam Clean Sheet 13%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiryat Yam MS Kafr Qasim
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Leumit League
Kiryat Yam vs MS Kafr Qasim
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Kiryat Yam
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiryat Yam 40 / 100
MS Kafr Qasim 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiryat Yam MS Kafr Qasim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Yam scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: MS Kafr Qasim conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Kiryat Yam remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kiryat Yam VS MS Kafr Qasim
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiryat Yam

(Home)
01 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
4 : 2
Kiryat Yam
06 Sept
Kiryat Yam
5 : 0
Hapoel Akko
Page 1 of 6

MS Kafr Qasim

(Away)
01 Oct
H. Raanana
1 : 2
MS Kafr Qasim
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
2 Yehuda 8 6 2 0 19:7 20
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Kiryat Yam 8 5 0 3 23:13 15
5 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
10 Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
11 Ironi Modiin 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 M. Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
13 M. Nazareth 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 8 0 0 8 0:23 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)