Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kisvarda FC vs Debrecen

Hungary Hungary

NB I. 2025/2026 Varkert Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kisvarda FC play Debrecen in the NB I. 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kisvarda FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Debrecen averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Kisvarda FC won 1, Debrecen won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 13, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Kisvarda FC and 1.44 for Debrecen. This points to a Debrecen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kisvarda FC
28%
Draws
42%
Debrecen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Debrecen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Kisvarda FC picked up more points recently compared to Debrecen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Kisvarda FC Clean Sheet 16%
Debrecen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kisvarda FC Debrecen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Debrecen
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 NB I.
Debrecen vs Kisvarda FC
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Debrecen
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Debrecen
1:3
Dec 2, 2023 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Debrecen
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kisvarda FC 30 / 100
Debrecen 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kisvarda FC Debrecen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Debrecen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kisvarda FC attacking → ← attacking Debrecen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kisvarda FC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Debrecen let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Kisvarda FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Debrecen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 44
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gyor33209465:3069
2Ferencvaros33215767:3168
3Paks331581063:4653
4Debrecen331411851:4153
5Zalaegerszegi331391149:4348
6Puskas Academy331371343:4346
7Ujpest331171548:5740
8Kisvarda FC331171536:4940
9Nyiregyhaza3310101347:5740
10MTK Budapest339111355:6238
11DVTK336101739:6528
12Kazincbarcika33642331:7022