Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kisvarda FC vs Paks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Varkert Stadium, Kisvarda
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Esik A. In: Szikszai H.
Out: Esik A.
46'
Sub
Gyorfi M. In: Simut M.
Out: Gyorfi M.
46'
Sub
Peto M. In: Hahn J.
Out: Peto M.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between Kisvarda FC and Paks finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kisvarda FC
30%
Draws
39%
Paks
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Kisvarda FC haven't matched Paks's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kisvarda FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paks here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kisvarda FC Clean Sheet 14%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kisvarda FC Paks
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Paks
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Paks
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 NB I.
Paks vs Kisvarda FC
5:3
Aug 3, 2025 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs Paks
1:5
Apr 2, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Kisvarda FC vs Paks
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kisvarda FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Lenzser B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kisvarda FC 84 / 100
Paks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kisvarda FC Paks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kisvarda FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Kisvarda FC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Kisvarda FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kisvarda FC VS Paks
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kisvarda FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Nagykozar KSE
0 : 9
Kisvarda FC
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
30 Aug
Kisvarda FC
1 : 1
Gyor
23 Aug
Kisvarda FC
0 : 0
Debrecen
Page 1 of 6

Paks

(Away)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Paks
2 : 4
Debrecen
29 Aug
Nyiregyhaza
1 : 1
Paks
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)