Sport Picks

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Kitara vs Buhimba

Uganda Uganda

Premier League The Royals Park, Butema
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ssenkaaba G.
13' Event
Ssenkaaba G.
33' Event
Living K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kitara and Buhimba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kitara
30%
Draws
0%
Buhimba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kitara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitara come out ahead of Buhimba on wins alone.
  • Kitara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Kitara Clean Sheet 68%
Buhimba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitara Buhimba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.42 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.68 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
Kitara vs Buhimba
4:0
Oct 16, 2025 Premier League
Buhimba vs Kitara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssenkaaba G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Living K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Buhimba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitara 95 / 100
Buhimba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitara Buhimba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buhimba conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Buhimba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kitara scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kitara VS Buhimba
0.88 Goals Scored 0.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitara

(Home)
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
23 May
Kitara
2 : 2
Police
19 May
BUL
1 : 1
Kitara
15 May
Vipers
1 : 1
Kitara
12 May
Express FC
3 : 2
Kitara
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Buhimba

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
13 May
NEC FC
3 : 0
Buhimba
08 May
Buhimba
0 : 2
Express FC
29 Apr
Buhimba
0 : 2
Lugazi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)