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Kitara vs Uganda Revenue

Uganda Uganda

Premier League The Royals Park, Butema
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ssenkaaba G.
66' Event
Namanya N.
67'
Lumu I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kitara
35%
Draws
32%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kitara lately — more wins on the board than Uganda Revenue.
  • Model gives Kitara a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Kitara Clean Sheet 68%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitara Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.47 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Premier League
Kitara vs Uganda Revenue
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Kitara
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League
Kitara vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Kitara
2:0
Mar 14, 2024 Premier League
Kitara vs Uganda Revenue
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssenkaaba G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Namanya N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitara 46 / 100
Uganda Revenue 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitara Uganda Revenue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitara found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Uganda Revenue has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kitara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kitara VS Uganda Revenue
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitara

(Home)
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
23 May
Kitara
2 : 2
Police
19 May
BUL
1 : 1
Kitara
15 May
Vipers
1 : 1
Kitara
12 May
Express FC
3 : 2
Kitara
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Uganda Revenue

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
16 May
Villa
1 : 0
Uganda Revenue
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
08 May
Vipers
1 : 1
Uganda Revenue
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)