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Kitchee vs Pegasus

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2019/2020
Kitchee Logo

Kitchee

4 - 0
FT
Pegasus Logo

Pegasus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kitchee in this Sapling Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kitchee
20%
Draws
36%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kitchee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Pegasus haven't matched Kitchee's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kitchee a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Kitchee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitchee, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 20%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchee Pegasus
Matches Played 34 23
Wins 22 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.26 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Kitchee
2:1
Mar 24, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Kitchee
1:2
Mar 4, 2021 Premier League
Kitchee vs Pegasus
2:0
Feb 20, 2021 Sapling Cup
Kitchee vs Pegasus
3:1
Nov 4, 2020 Sapling Cup
Pegasus vs Kitchee
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchee 85 / 100
Pegasus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchee Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitchee scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Kitchee went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pegasus let in goals in 70% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kitchee VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchee

(Home)
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
22 Aug
Hong Kong Rangers
2 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 7

Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Eastern AA 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
3 Pegasus 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Lee Man Warriors 8 2 1 5 17:22 7
5 Hong Kong Rangers 8 1 1 6 10:27 4
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
2 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 8 4 1 3 18:12 13
3 Yuen Long 8 3 3 2 19:17 12
4 Happy Valley 8 2 2 4 13:17 8
5 Tai Po 8 1 3 4 18:25 6
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)