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Kitchee vs South China Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

FA Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Kitchee advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kitchee
20%
Draws
34%
South China
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kitchee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kitchee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kitchee are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kitchee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kitchee, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kitchee have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 20%
South China Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitchee South China
Matches Played 49 38
Wins 29 21
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.02 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 FA Cup
Kitchee vs South China
2:1
Apr 22, 2017 Premier League
South China vs Kitchee
0:3
Oct 15, 2016 Premier League
Kitchee vs South China
1:1
Jan 30, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Kitchee
0:3
Dec 23, 2015 Premier League
Kitchee vs South China
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitchee 85 / 100
South China 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitchee South China

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitchee found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (49 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

South China has conceded goals in 66% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: Kitchee remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kitchee VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitchee

(Home)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
17 Sept
Kitchee
0 : 0
Gangwon
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3
Kitchee
06 Sept
Kitchee
4 : 1
Eastern District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0
Kitchee
Page 1 of 10

South China

(Away)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pegasus 0
Kitchee 1
Southern District 3
King Fung Football Club 1
Hong Kong Rangers 1
South China 2
Yuen Long 0
Eastern AA 4
Semi-finals
Kitchee 2
Southern District 1
South China 1
Eastern AA 0
Final
Kitchee 2
South China 1