Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kitheron Kapareliou vs Korinthos 2006

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 2019/2020
Sun, Jan 12, 2020
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kitheron Kapareliou play Korinthos 2006 in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kitheron Kapareliou averaged 1.04 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Korinthos 2006 averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.22 conceded. In past meetings, Kitheron Kapareliou won 1, Korinthos 2006 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 12, 2020 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Kitheron Kapareliou and 0.51 for Korinthos 2006. This points to a Kitheron Kapareliou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Kitheron Kapareliou
17%
Draws
29%
Korinthos 2006
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kitheron Kapareliou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Kitheron Kapareliou picked up more points recently compared to Korinthos 2006.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.51 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Kitheron Kapareliou Clean Sheet 30%
Korinthos 2006 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitheron Kapareliou Korinthos 2006
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.04 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Kitheron Kapareliou vs Korinthos 2006
3:0
Sep 29, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Korinthos 2006 vs Kitheron Kapareliou
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitheron Kapareliou 55 / 100
Korinthos 2006 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitheron Kapareliou Korinthos 2006

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitheron Kapareliou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kitheron Kapareliou & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kitheron Kapareliou attacking → ← attacking Korinthos 2006

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kitheron Kapareliou scored in 65% of their last 23 games.

Korinthos 2006 let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kitheron Kapareliou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Korinthos 2006 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 18
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rodos21182144:956
2Marko21135337:1544
3Ipato22107533:1937
4Panarkadikos21113730:1836
5Aittitos Spata21105626:2135
6Thyella Diastavroseos2197521:1834
7Aiolikos FC2185825:1829
8Kitheron Kapareliou2185819:1729
9Nea Artaki2176822:2227
10Palliniakos22571020:3122
11Acharnaikos21511516:3316
12Korinthos 200621431414:4715
13AEK Tripolis2204188:474