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Kitsap Pumas vs Abbotsford Mariners

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kitsap Pumas in this USL Premier Development League 2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kitsap Pumas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kitsap Pumas
15%
Draws
0%
Abbotsford Mariners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kitsap Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Abbotsford Mariners haven't matched Kitsap Pumas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kitsap Pumas a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kitsap Pumas have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kitsap Pumas Clean Sheet 20%
Abbotsford Mariners Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kitsap Pumas Abbotsford Mariners
Matches Played 39 34
Wins 22 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.67 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2012 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Kitsap Pumas
0:3
May 13, 2012 USL League Two
Kitsap Pumas vs Abbotsford Mariners
6:0
Jul 6, 2011 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Kitsap Pumas
0:4
Jun 18, 2011 USL League Two
Kitsap Pumas vs Abbotsford Mariners
3:1
Jun 13, 2010 USL League Two
Abbotsford Mariners vs Kitsap Pumas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitsap Pumas 85 / 100
Abbotsford Mariners 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kitsap Pumas Abbotsford Mariners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abbotsford Mariners's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Abbotsford Mariners has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kitsap Pumas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (39 games).

Scoring Trends

Kitsap Pumas VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kitsap Pumas

(Home)
09 May
Portland (Capital) U23
5 : 0
Kitsap Pumas
17 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
3 : 1
Calgary-Foothills
10 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
2 : 1
Lane United FC
07 Jul
Kitsap Pumas
0 : 0
Portland Timbers 3
30 Jun
Kitsap Pumas
1 : 0
Sound FC
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Abbotsford Mariners

(Away)
12 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
2 : 1
Abbotsford Mariners
08 Jul
Sound FC
1 : 0
Abbotsford Mariners
02 Jul
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 1
Victoria Highlanders FC
30 Jun
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 2
Portland Timbers 3
21 Jun
Abbotsford Mariners
0 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps U23
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