Sport Picks

Austria

Regionalliga West 2025/2026

Kitzbuhel

2 - 0

Schwaz

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Stradins D.

59'

Baur R.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Kitzbuhel and Schwaz finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kitzbuhel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Kitzbuhel

22%

Draws

18%

Schwaz

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kitzbuhel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kitzbuhel come out ahead of Schwaz on wins alone.
Win probability leans Kitzbuhel's way, sitting at 60%.
Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 17%

Schwaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kitzbuhel	Schwaz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	3	4
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Regionalliga West

Kitzbuhel vs Schwaz

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Oct 5, 2025 Regionalliga West

Schwaz vs Kitzbuhel

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

May 28, 2025 Regionalliga West

Kitzbuhel vs Schwaz

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Oct 25, 2024 Regionalliga West

Schwaz vs Kitzbuhel

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Oct 15, 2022 Regionalliga West - Tyrol

Kitzbuhel vs Schwaz

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kitzbuhel Compare

Top Goalscorer Stradins D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Schwaz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kitzbuhel 57 / 100

Schwaz 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kitzbuhel Schwaz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kitzbuhel scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Schwaz has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Kitzbuhel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kitzbuhel VS Schwaz

1 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wacker Innsbruck	32	28	2	2	88:18	86
2	Kuchl	32	21	2	9	61:43	65
3	SC Imst	32	19	7	6	71:38	64
4	Seekirchen	32	19	4	9	83:51	61
5	Dornbirn	32	16	4	12	62:46	52
6	Bischofshofen	32	16	3	13	61:49	51
7	Hohenems	32	12	11	9	60:52	47
8	Kitzbuhel	32	14	4	14	46:44	46
9	Reichenau	32	14	3	15	44:55	45
10	Schwaz	32	13	5	14	57:56	44
11	Wals-Grunau	32	11	8	13	56:65	41
12	FC Lustenau	32	9	7	16	49:78	34
13	Johann	32	9	5	18	45:58	32
14	Pinzgau Saalfelden	32	7	6	19	26:60	27
15	Altach U21	32	7	6	19	35:75	27
16	Kufstein	32	5	10	17	33:55	25
17	Lauterach	32	6	5	21	46:80	23