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Kivioli Irbis vs Kalju II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2015 game between Kivioli Irbis and Kalju II finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kivioli Irbis
40%
Draws
29%
Kalju II
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kivioli Irbis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kalju II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kivioli Irbis Kalju II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Kivioli Irbis
4:2
Aug 19, 2015 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Kalju II
0:1
Jul 10, 2015 Esiliiga
Kivioli Irbis vs Kalju II
0:0
Mar 8, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Kivioli Irbis
4:0
Oct 22, 2014 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Kivioli Irbis
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kivioli Irbis 30 / 100
Kalju II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kivioli Irbis Kalju II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kivioli Irbis scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Kalju II has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kalju II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kivioli Irbis VS Kalju II
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora Tallinn U2136226876:4072
2Levadia Tallinn II362259118:5771
3FCI Tallinn II3620610108:4866
4Rakvere3612111352:5347
5Kalju II361441850:5646
6Tallinna Kalev361371647:5946
7Kivioli Irbis361351860:8744
8Santos Tartu361261856:8342
9Vandra Vaprus361152043:8038
10Kuressaare361071948:9537