Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2015

Kivioli Irbis

4 - 2

Kuressaare

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2015 game between Kivioli Irbis and Kuressaare finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kivioli Irbis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Kivioli Irbis

28%

Draws

22%

Kuressaare

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kivioli Irbis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Kuressaare haven't matched Kivioli Irbis's recent run of results.
Kivioli Irbis are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Kivioli Irbis have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 20%

Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kivioli Irbis	Kuressaare
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	13	8
Draws	4	4
Losses	13	20
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2015 Esiliiga

Kuressaare vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Aug 28, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Kuressaare

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

4:2

May 9, 2015 Esiliiga

Kuressaare vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 60% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

1:3

Apr 30, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Kuressaare

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Oct 25, 2014 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Kuressaare

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kivioli Irbis 49 / 100

Kuressaare 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kivioli Irbis Kuressaare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kivioli Irbis scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Kuressaare has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Kuressaare's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kuressaare

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flora Tallinn U21	36	22	6	8	76:40	72
2	Levadia Tallinn II	36	22	5	9	118:57	71
3	FCI Tallinn II	36	20	6	10	108:48	66
4	Rakvere	36	12	11	13	52:53	47
5	Kalju II	36	14	4	18	50:56	46
6	Tallinna Kalev	36	13	7	16	47:59	46
7	Kivioli Irbis	36	13	5	18	60:87	44
8	Santos Tartu	36	12	6	18	56:83	42
9	Vandra Vaprus	36	11	5	20	43:80	38
10	Kuressaare	36	10	7	19	48:95	37