Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2015

Rakvere

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kivioli Irbis play Rakvere in the Esiliiga 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kivioli Irbis averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2 conceded. Rakvere averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. In past meetings, Kivioli Irbis won 1, Rakvere won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 1, 2015 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Kivioli Irbis and 0.80 for Rakvere. This points to a Kivioli Irbis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Kivioli Irbis

15%

Draws

30%

Rakvere

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kivioli Irbis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Kivioli Irbis picked up more points recently compared to Rakvere.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Kivioli Irbis Clean Sheet 26%

Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kivioli Irbis	Rakvere
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	13	8
Draws	4	3
Losses	13	22
Goals Scored	1.9	1.09
Goals Conceded	2	2.55

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Rakvere

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Jul 24, 2015 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Rakvere

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Jun 3, 2015 Esiliiga

Rakvere vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Apr 4, 2015 Esiliiga

Rakvere vs Kivioli Irbis

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

5:1

Sep 27, 2014 Esiliiga

Kivioli Irbis vs Rakvere

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kivioli Irbis 55 / 100

Rakvere 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kivioli Irbis Rakvere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kivioli Irbis Win (1)

Secondary Pick Kivioli Irbis & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kivioli Irbis attacking → ← attacking Rakvere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kivioli Irbis scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Rakvere let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kivioli Irbis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rakvere lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 27

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flora Tallinn U21	36	22	6	8	76:40	72
2	Levadia Tallinn II	36	22	5	9	118:57	71
3	FCI Tallinn II	36	20	6	10	108:48	66
4	Rakvere	36	12	11	13	52:53	47
5	Kalju II	36	14	4	18	50:56	46
6	Tallinna Kalev	36	13	7	16	47:59	46
7	Kivioli Irbis	36	13	5	18	60:87	44
8	Santos Tartu	36	12	6	18	56:83	42
9	Vandra Vaprus	36	11	5	20	43:80	38
10	Kuressaare	36	10	7	19	48:95	37