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Kiwi vs Tupapa

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tupapa in this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kiwi
15%
Draws
34%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kiwi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupapa lately — more wins on the board than Kiwi.
  • Win probability leans Tupapa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiwi Tupapa
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.48 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.38 3.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
4:1
Jan 29, 2016 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
1:2
Oct 20, 2013 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Kiwi
0:3
May 3, 2012 OFC Champions League
Kiwi vs Tupapa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiwi 14 / 100
Tupapa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiwi Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Kiwi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (21 games).

Difficult form: Tupapa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tupapa
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiwi

(Home)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 3 2 1 0 14:4 7
2 Lotohaapai 3 2 1 0 11:4 7
3 Kiwi 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Pago Youth 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Additional Qualification)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Additional Qualification)