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Kiyinda Boys vs Catda

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Kiyinda Boys and Catda finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiyinda Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kiyinda Boys
20%
Draws
57%
Catda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiyinda Boys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Catda a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 20%
Catda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyinda Boys Catda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.33 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Catda
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 28 / 100
Catda 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyinda Boys Catda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kiyinda Boys scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Catda has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kiyinda Boys went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Catda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyinda Boys

(Home)
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

Catda

(Away)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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