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Kiyinda Boys vs Kaaro Karungi

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

Kiyinda Boys in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kiyinda Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kiyinda Boys
22%
Draws
60%
Kaaro Karungi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kiyinda Boys lately — more wins on the board than Kaaro Karungi.
  • Win probability leans Kaaro Karungi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 27%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyinda Boys Kaaro Karungi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kaaro Karungi
3:2
May 11, 2025 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Kiyinda Boys
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kaaro Karungi
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kaaro Karungi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 22 / 100
Kaaro Karungi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyinda Boys Kaaro Karungi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiyinda Boys scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kaaro Karungi has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Kiyinda Boys went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Kaaro Karungi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyinda Boys

(Home)
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

Kaaro Karungi

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Ntugasaze
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
03 May
Kaaro Karungi
3 : 0
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)