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Kiyinda Boys vs Kigezi HomeBoyz

Uganda Uganda

Big League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kiyinda Boys
39%
Draws
31%
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kigezi HomeBoyz lately — more wins on the board than Kiyinda Boys.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kiyinda Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Kigezi HomeBoyz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyinda Boys Kigezi HomeBoyz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Kiyinda Boys
2:1
May 18, 2025 Big League
Kiyinda Boys vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
2:2
Dec 7, 2024 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Kiyinda Boys
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Kiyinda Boys
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyinda Boys 41 / 100
Kigezi HomeBoyz 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyinda Boys Kigezi HomeBoyz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiyinda Boys's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Kigezi HomeBoyz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kigezi HomeBoyz let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kiyinda Boys VS Kigezi HomeBoyz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyinda Boys

(Home)
06 Jun
Kiyinda Boys
0 : 3
Ntugasaze
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kiyinda Boys
1 : 1
Kataka
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 6

Kigezi HomeBoyz

(Away)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
2 : 0
Blacks Power
03 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
1 : 0
Iganga United
26 Apr
Onduparaka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)