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Kiyovu vs Al Hilal Omdurman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiyovu host Al Hilal Omdurman in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Kiyovu have averaged 1.19 scored and 0.59 conceded recently, against Al Hilal Omdurman's 2.03 scored and 0.74 conceded. Head-to-head, Kiyovu have won 1 to Al Hilal Omdurman's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.94) point toward Al Hilal Omdurman. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kiyovu
15%
Draws
49%
Al Hilal Omdurman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiyovu haven't matched Al Hilal Omdurman's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Hilal Omdurman a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 20%
Al Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyovu Al Hilal Omdurman
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 14 26
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.19 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Al Hilal Omdurman
1:2
Dec 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Kiyovu
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyovu 28 / 100
Al Hilal Omdurman 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyovu Al Hilal Omdurman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Omdurman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kiyovu scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kiyovu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Hilal Omdurman has conceded goals in 54% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kiyovu VS Al Hilal Omdurman
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
13% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyovu

(Home)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 7

Al Hilal Omdurman

(Away)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
07 Aug
Jamus
1 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
7 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
12 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
13 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)