Sport Picks

Rwanda

Premier League

Kiyovu

3 - 1

AS Kigali

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Kiyovu and AS Kigali finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kiyovu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Kiyovu

17%

Draws

13%

AS Kigali

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kiyovu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

AS Kigali haven't matched Kiyovu's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Kiyovu's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Kiyovu here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Kiyovu Clean Sheet 68%

AS Kigali Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kiyovu	AS Kigali
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	7
Draws	12	12
Losses	6	12
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League

Kiyovu vs AS Kigali

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Nov 2, 2025 Premier League

AS Kigali vs Kiyovu

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

0:3

May 9, 2025 Premier League

AS Kigali vs Kiyovu

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Aug 21, 2024 Premier League

Kiyovu vs AS Kigali

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jan 20, 2024 Premier League

AS Kigali vs Kiyovu

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyovu 77 / 100

AS Kigali 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kiyovu AS Kigali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIY Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Kiyovu remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kiyovu found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

AS Kigali has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kiyovu VS AS Kigali

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	34	23	6	5	74:25	75
2	APR	34	19	11	4	50:28	68
3	Al-Merreikh	34	16	11	7	41:24	59
4	Rayon Sport	34	14	14	6	40:30	56
5	Kiyovu	34	13	14	7	34:21	53
6	Police	34	12	16	6	29:19	52
7	Mukura Victory Sports	34	12	11	11	36:38	47
8	Marines	34	12	9	13	47:43	45
9	Bugesera	34	12	8	14	34:39	44
10	Musanze	34	11	10	13	38:37	43
11	Gorilla	34	10	10	14	31:42	40
12	Gicumbi	34	10	8	16	38:54	38
13	Etincelles	34	7	16	11	32:40	37
14	AS Kigali	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
15	Gasogi United	34	8	11	15	29:44	35
16	Amagaju	34	9	8	17	19:38	35
17	Muhanga	34	8	7	19	25:46	31
18	Rutsiro	34	6	11	17	30:47	29