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Kiyovu vs Kigali FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kiyovu host Kigali FC in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kigali FC have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Kiyovu have conceded 0.59 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Kiyovu have won 4 to Kigali FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.69) point toward Kiyovu. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kiyovu
20%
Draws
40%
Kigali FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kigali FC haven't matched Kiyovu's recent run of results.
  • Kiyovu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kiyovu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 20%
Kigali FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kiyovu Kigali FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Kigali FC
3:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Kiyovu
0:3
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Kiyovu
0:1
Aug 21, 2024 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Kigali FC
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Kiyovu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kiyovu 40 / 100
Kigali FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kiyovu Kigali FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiyovu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiyovu's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kigali FC conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kiyovu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kiyovu VS Kigali FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kiyovu

(Home)
10 Oct
Marines
0 : 0
Kiyovu
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

Kigali FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Kigali FC
1 : 0
Gicumbi
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Mukura Victory Sports 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
5 Sunrise 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
6 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Amagaju 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
8 Gasogi United 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
9 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
10 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
12 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
13 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
14 Police 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Musanze 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
16 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
17 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
18 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)