Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kjelsas vs Ham-Kam

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nilsen S.
Assist: Al Saed D.
80' Event
Mettler L.
Assist: Benjamin D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kjelsas
20%
Draws
40%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ham-Kam haven't matched Kjelsas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kjelsas a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Kjelsas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ham-Kam, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kjelsas Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kjelsas Ham-Kam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 NM Cup
Kjelsas vs Ham-Kam
0:2
Aug 26, 2017 Division 2 - Group 1
Ham-Kam vs Kjelsas
2:1
May 14, 2017 Division 2 - Group 1
Kjelsas vs Ham-Kam
0:0
Oct 14, 2001 OBOS-ligaen
Ham-Kam vs Kjelsas
1:1
Jun 30, 2001 OBOS-ligaen
Kjelsas vs Ham-Kam
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kjelsas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mettler L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kjelsas 49 / 100
Ham-Kam 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kjelsas Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kjelsas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kjelsas's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ham-Kam let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ham-Kam has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kjelsas VS Ham-Kam
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kjelsas

(Home)
26 Sept
Kjelsas
2 : 2
Follo
20 Sept
Grorud
3 : 2
Kjelsas
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Kjelsas
5 : 0
Stjordals Blink
05 Sept
Skeid
4 : 1
Kjelsas
Page 1 of 6

Ham-Kam

(Away)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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