Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KKS Kalisz vs Elana Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Stadion Miejski, Kalisz
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kuchta I.
16' Event
Biskup M.
44' Event
Woroniecki K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between KKS Kalisz and Elana Torun finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KKS Kalisz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KKS Kalisz
35%
Draws
14%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: KKS Kalisz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Elana Torun's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what KKS Kalisz have produced (1.25).
  • Win probability leans KKS Kalisz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KKS Kalisz here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 18%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKS Kalisz Elana Torun
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group II
KKS Kalisz vs Elana Torun
5:1
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Elana Torun
2:1
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Elana Torun
1:0
Jul 21, 2021 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Elana Torun
2:0
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Elana Torun vs KKS Kalisz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KKS Kalisz Compare

Top Goalscorer Putno B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kuchta I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Elana Torun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKS Kalisz 85 / 100
Elana Torun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKS Kalisz Elana Torun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KKS Kalisz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Elana Torun conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: KKS Kalisz remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

KKS Kalisz scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

KKS Kalisz VS Elana Torun
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KKS Kalisz

(Home)
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3
KKS Kalisz
29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1
Elana Torun
23 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 6

Elana Torun

(Away)
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzino 10 8 1 1 30:10 25
2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 7 3 0 29:16 24
3 Kluczevia Stargard 9 6 1 2 19:15 19
4 Wda Swiecie 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
5 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
6 KKS Kalisz 9 3 5 1 15:10 14
7 Blekitni Stargard 9 4 2 3 19:16 14
8 Swinoujscie 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
9 Notec Czarnkow 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
10 Gedania Gdansk 9 2 4 3 22:21 10
11 Grom Nowy Staw 9 3 1 5 24:24 10
12 Kotwica Kornik 9 3 1 5 17:22 10
13 Baltyk Koszalin 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 9 1 5 3 13:18 8
15 Elana Torun 10 1 4 5 13:21 7
16 Unia Swarzedz 9 2 1 6 11:19 7
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 9 1 3 5 10:22 6
18 Lipno Steszew 9 1 1 7 10:21 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)