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KKS Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Stadion Miejski, Kalisz
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Derkacz K.
73' Event
Putno B.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between KKS Kalisz and Kluczevia Stargard finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KKS Kalisz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
KKS Kalisz
30%
Draws
35%
Kluczevia Stargard
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Kluczevia Stargard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • KKS Kalisz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 10%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKS Kalisz Kluczevia Stargard
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 III Liga - Group II
KKS Kalisz vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KKS Kalisz Compare

Top Goalscorer Derkacz K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKS Kalisz 83 / 100
Kluczevia Stargard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKS Kalisz Kluczevia Stargard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KKS Kalisz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kluczevia Stargard let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

KKS Kalisz scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

KKS Kalisz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Kluczevia Stargard registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KKS Kalisz VS Kluczevia Stargard
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KKS Kalisz

(Home)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 6

Kluczevia Stargard

(Away)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)