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KKS Kalisz vs Lech Poznan II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Stadion Miejski, Kalisz
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan II in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lech Poznan II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
KKS Kalisz
35%
Draws
37%
Lech Poznan II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lech Poznan II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lech Poznan II lately — more wins on the board than KKS Kalisz.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 18%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKS Kalisz Lech Poznan II
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group II
KKS Kalisz vs Lech Poznan II
2:4
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Lech Poznan II
2:2
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Lech Poznan II vs KKS Kalisz
3:2
May 4, 2024 Division 2
Lech Poznan II vs KKS Kalisz
1:1
Oct 20, 2023 Division 2
KKS Kalisz vs Lech Poznan II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKS Kalisz 36 / 100
Lech Poznan II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKS Kalisz Lech Poznan II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lech Poznan II conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

KKS Kalisz found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

KKS Kalisz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KKS Kalisz VS Lech Poznan II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KKS Kalisz

(Home)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 6

Lech Poznan II

(Away)
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Grom Nowy Staw
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)