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KKS Kalisz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II Stadion Miejski, Kalisz
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KKS Kalisz host Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. KKS Kalisz have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's 2.12 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor KKS Kalisz slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2023, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.50, favoring Polonia Sroda Wielkopol. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
KKS Kalisz
35%
Draws
45%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won more games recently than KKS Kalisz.
  • Model gives Polonia Sroda Wielkopol a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KKS Kalisz Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.31 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2023 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:4
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:2
Feb 27, 2022 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 Club Friendly
KKS Kalisz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:1
Jun 5, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs KKS Kalisz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KKS Kalisz 10 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KKS Kalisz Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

KKS Kalisz's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: KKS Kalisz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KKS Kalisz VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.75 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

KKS Kalisz

(Home)
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)