Sport Picks
Klaipedos FM vs Jonava
Lithuania
Lithuanian Cup 2025 
Match Events
18'
18'
Bogdanovas M.
56'
56'
Jancauskas J.
72'
72'
Mickevicius E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Jonava advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Klaipedos FM
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Jonava come out ahead of Klaipedos FM on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Jonava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Jonava, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Klaipedos FM Clean Sheet 20%
Jonava Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Klaipedos FM | Jonava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.44 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Klaipedos FM vs Jonava
2:3
May 6, 2023 Lithuanian Cup
Klaipedos FM vs Jonava
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Klaipedos FM Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogdanovas M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jancauskas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Jonava Compare
Top Goalscorer Mickevicius E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dubickas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Klaipedos FM 32 / 100
Jonava 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Klaipedos FM Jonava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Klaipedos FM scored in 78% of their last 9 games.
Jonava has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Away concern: Jonava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Klaipedos FM VS Jonava
0 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Klaipedos FM
(Home) 19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
28 Apr
Klaipedos FM
1 : 0 BE1 NFA
06 May
Klaipedos FM
2 : 3 Jonava
22 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 4 Banga
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2 Klaipedos FM
Page 1 of 2
19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2 Dainava Alytus
28 Apr
Klaipedos FM
1 : 0 BE1 NFA
06 May
Klaipedos FM
2 : 3 Jonava
22 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 4 Banga
31 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 2 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 2
Jonava
(Away) 04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0 Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2 Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1 Siauliai 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Jonava
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2 Ekranas
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2 Jonava
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Jonava
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2 Jonava
18 Jul
FK Minija
2 : 1 Jonava
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1 Jonava
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
AFK Vilnius 4
Pempininkai 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Babrungas 2
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
FK Minija 3
FK Cementininkas 2
Dziugas Telsiai 3
Sirijus 0
Transinvest 5
VGTU Vilkai 0
FC Hegelmann 6
FK Atmosfera 0
Banga 2
Riteriai 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 0
Zalgiris 6
Neptunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Utenis 1
Tauras Taurage 5
Vilnius FA 0
Suduva 4
Kazlu Ruda 1
BE1 NFA 0
Klaipedos FM 2
Jonava 3
Garliava 1
Ekranas 0
Trivartis Vilnius 0
FK Panevezys 13
1/8-finals
AFK Vilnius 0
FK Babrungas 6
FK Minija 0
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Transinvest 0
FC Hegelmann 1
Banga 0
FA Siauliai 1
Zalgiris 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Tauras Taurage 1
Suduva 3
Kazlu Ruda 1
Jonava 4
Garliava 0
FK Panevezys 3
Quarter-finals
FK Babrungas 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FC Hegelmann 3
FA Siauliai 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Suduva 2
Jonava 1
FK Panevezys 4
Semi-finals
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FC Hegelmann 2
Suduva 0
FK Panevezys 2
Final
FC Hegelmann 0
FK Panevezys 1
