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Kleczew vs Nielba Wagrowiec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kleczew play Nielba Wagrowiec in the III Liga - Group II 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kleczew averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Nielba Wagrowiec averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Kleczew won 1, Nielba Wagrowiec won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 22, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Kleczew and 1.00 for Nielba Wagrowiec. This points to a Kleczew double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kleczew
31%
Draws
26%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Kleczew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Kleczew picked up more points recently compared to Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Kleczew Clean Sheet 23%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kleczew Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played 46 31
Wins 23 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.72 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Kleczew vs Nielba Wagrowiec
1:1
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Kleczew
2:3
Apr 26, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Kleczew vs Nielba Wagrowiec
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Kleczew
2:1
Jul 26, 2017 Club Friendly
Kleczew vs Nielba Wagrowiec
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kleczew Compare

Top Goalscorer Grzelak N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesniewski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kleczew 43 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kleczew Nielba Wagrowiec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kleczew or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kleczew attacking → ← attacking Nielba Wagrowiec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kleczew scored in 74% of their last 46 games.

Nielba Wagrowiec let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kleczew went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nielba Wagrowiec lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

75 Points in last 5 32
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00