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Kluczevia Stargard vs Baltyk Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kluczevia Stargard play Baltyk Koszalin in the III Liga - Group II 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kluczevia Stargard averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Baltyk Koszalin averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Kluczevia Stargard won 0, Baltyk Koszalin won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Kluczevia Stargard and 0.75 for Baltyk Koszalin. This points to a Kluczevia Stargard double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Kluczevia Stargard
18%
Draws
40%
Baltyk Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Kluczevia Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Kluczevia Stargard picked up more points recently compared to Baltyk Koszalin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 27%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kluczevia Stargard Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:2
Sep 12, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Kluczevia Stargard
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruchala-Wesierski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kluczevia Stargard 43 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kluczevia Stargard Baltyk Koszalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kluczevia Stargard or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kluczevia Stargard attacking → ← attacking Baltyk Koszalin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kluczevia Stargard scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Baltyk Koszalin let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Kluczevia Stargard went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Baltyk Koszalin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 33
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kotwica Kolobrzeg34246475:2578
2Ol. Grudziadz34245577:2477
3Unia Janikowo341861062:4760
4Pogon Szczecin II341610860:3658
5Nowe Skalmierzyce341771054:4258
6Kleczew341751253:3956
7Swit Szczecin341681056:3756
8Zawisza341481257:5150
9Blekitni Stargard341361548:5445
10Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341271540:6343
11Starogard Gdanski341191444:5142
12Stolem Gniewino3410111343:6641
13B. Gdynia341061844:5736
14Jarocin34991640:4736
15Przodkowo34991640:5136
16Baltyk Koszalin34981740:5835
17Kluczevia Stargard34752228:6526
18Elana Torun34632536:8421