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Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Torun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Pietrzyk K.
67' Event
Pietrzyk K.
81' Event
Woroniecki K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Kluczevia Stargard and Elana Torun finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kluczevia Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kluczevia Stargard
20%
Draws
46%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kluczevia Stargard come out ahead of Elana Torun on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kluczevia Stargard a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 15%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kluczevia Stargard Elana Torun
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Torun
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Torun
1:2
Apr 9, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Elana Torun
3:0
Sep 5, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Pietrzyk K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Woroniecki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kluczevia Stargard 84 / 100
Elana Torun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kluczevia Stargard Elana Torun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kluczevia Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kluczevia Stargard's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elana Torun conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Kluczevia Stargard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kluczevia Stargard VS Elana Torun
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kluczevia Stargard

(Home)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Elana Torun

(Away)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)