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Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznan II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Jakobczyk K.
12' Event
Delikat K.
16' Event
da Silva de Melo R.

AI Match Summary

Kluczevia Stargard in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kluczevia Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Kluczevia Stargard
15%
Draws
32%
Lech Poznan II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kluczevia Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Kluczevia Stargard have won more games recently than Lech Poznan II.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Kluczevia Stargard have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kluczevia Stargard Lech Poznan II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.73 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznan II
4:3
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznan II
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Kluczevia Stargard
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Yefimenko D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva de Melo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobczyk K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delikat K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kluczevia Stargard 34 / 100
Lech Poznan II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kluczevia Stargard Lech Poznan II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lech Poznan II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kluczevia Stargard found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Lech Poznan II conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Kluczevia Stargard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kluczevia Stargard VS Lech Poznan II
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kluczevia Stargard

(Home)
04 Nov
Kluczevia Stargard
4 : 3
Lech Poznan II
31 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
24 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2
Swinoujscie
17 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
3 : 2
Luzino
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
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Lech Poznan II

(Away)
04 Nov
Kluczevia Stargard
4 : 3
Lech Poznan II
31 Oct
Lech Poznan II
8 : 1
Swinoujscie
24 Oct
Luzino
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
18 Oct
Lech Poznan II
2 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
14 Oct
Lech Poznan II
1 : 4
Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)