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Kluczevia Stargard vs Swinoujscie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kluczevia Stargard host Swinoujscie in the III Liga - Group II. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Swinoujscie have shipped 2.09 goals a game lately, while Kluczevia Stargard have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor Swinoujscie slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (2.06 - 1.56) back Kluczevia Stargard to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Kluczevia Stargard
15%
Draws
12%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kluczevia Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Kluczevia Stargard have won more games recently than Swinoujscie.
  • Win probability leans Kluczevia Stargard's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 15%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kluczevia Stargard Swinoujscie
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Swinoujscie
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Kluczevia Stargard
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kluczevia Stargard 84 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kluczevia Stargard Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kluczevia Stargard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kluczevia Stargard found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Swinoujscie conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Swinoujscie lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kluczevia Stargard VS Swinoujscie
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kluczevia Stargard

(Home)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 7

Swinoujscie

(Away)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)