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KMKM vs Al Ahly Tripoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
KMKM Logo

KMKM

0 - 3
FT
Al Ahly Tripoli Logo

Al Ahly Tripoli

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
El Houni H.
22' Event
Mayele F.
27' Event
Dehiri H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
KMKM
15%
Draws
69%
Al Ahly Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Al Ahly Tripoli have won more games recently than KMKM.
  • Al Ahly Tripoli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al Ahly Tripoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahly Tripoli, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Ahly Tripoli here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
KMKM Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KMKM Al Ahly Tripoli
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 24
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 2
Goals Scored 0.62 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Ahly Tripoli vs KMKM
4:0
Sep 5, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
KMKM vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:3
Sep 17, 2022 CAF Champions League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs KMKM
4:0
Sep 10, 2022 CAF Champions League
KMKM vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KMKM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Al Ahly Tripoli Compare

Top Goalscorer El Houni H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayele F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KMKM 10 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KMKM Al Ahly Tripoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

KMKM scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Ahly Tripoli conceded in 35% of 31 recent games.

KMKM has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KMKM VS Al Ahly Tripoli
0 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KMKM

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahly Tripoli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -