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KMKM vs Kampala City

Africa Africa

CECAFA Clubs Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Herbert A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Kampala City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KMKM
15%
Draws
34%
Kampala City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KMKM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Kampala City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Kampala City taking it.
  • Kampala City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kampala City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
KMKM Clean Sheet 11%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KMKM Kampala City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.64 1.53
Goals Conceded 2 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2021 CECAFA Kagame Cup
KMKM vs Kampala City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KMKM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Kampala City Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbert A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KMKM 14 / 100
Kampala City 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KMKM Kampala City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kampala City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kampala City let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Kampala City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

KMKM's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

KMKM VS Kampala City
0 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KMKM

(Home)
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 Oct
Azam
7 : 0
KMKM
18 Oct
KMKM
0 : 2
Azam
26 Sept
KMKM
2 : 1
Port
21 Sept
Port
1 : 2
KMKM
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Kampala City

(Away)
03 Sept
Express FC
2 : 0
Kampala City
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
23 May
Kampala City
4 : 1
Mbarara City
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Express FC 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Big Bullets 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
3 Young Africans 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Atlabara FC 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - CECAFA Clubs Cup 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Azam 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 KMKM 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Le Messager Ngozi 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Kampala City 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
Promotion - CECAFA Clubs Cup 2021 (Play Offs)